Description
Solid structural timber market Germany: consumption and forecast to 2031
How is the solid structural timber market in Germany developing? The dataset quantifies domestic consumption of construction timber (KVH, German Konstruktionsvollholz) in million m³ for every quarter from Q1/2021 to Q4/2031 – as historical market data and forecast.
The dataset covers kiln-dried, planed and finger-jointed softwood made from spruce or fir. KVH is the standard material for roof structures, on masonry houses too, and forms the studs of timber frame and timber panel walls and floors. Roof structure replacement, loft conversions and storey extensions are included. Glulam for large spans and cross-laminated timber for flat wall and floor elements are covered by separate datasets.
Demand follows the residential new-build slump only in weakened form: more buildings are erected in timber, and prefabricated houses are gaining share among single- and two-family homes. Climate targets, the German Buildings Energy Act (GEG) and serial and public timber construction support this trend. Renovation work adds a comparatively crisis-resistant share. With only a weak new-build recovery after the trough, moderate growth is expected up to 2031. In multi-storey solid construction, KVH competes with calcium silicate units and reinforced concrete.
Which questions about the solid structural timber market does the dataset answer?
- How has KVH consumption developed since 2021, and when does it grow again?
- How much does renovation of existing buildings contribute compared with new build?
- How is KVH consumption split between residential and non-residential buildings?
- How does the KVH volume vary from quarter to quarter?
Who is the dataset for?
Sawmills and KVH producers use the series for capacity and sales planning, roundwood and adhesive suppliers for their volume outlook. Timber merchants plan stocks; carpenters and prefabricated house manufacturers match order books with material needs. Structural engineers, investors and analysts gain a consistent series for market assessments.
Data basis and methodology
The data cover new build and renovation, each split into residential and non-residential buildings, plus the total market. The model links building completions, building permits and renovation activity with parameters such as timber volume per m² of floor area, the rising timber and prefabricated share in new build and the roof replacement rate. The model was cross-checked against available market and industry data as well as internal data.
Delivered as CSV and Excel files, each in German and English, with 44 quarterly values. Related datasets: Glued laminated timber (Glulam), Cross-laminated timber (CLT), Timber frame elements (prefabricated) and all data on structural work, load-bearing structure and outdoor facilities.
