Description
MVHR market Germany: demand for central units in thousand units and forecast to 2031
How is the MVHR market in Germany developing? The dataset tracks demand for central mechanical ventilation units with heat recovery (MVHR) in thousand units for each single quarter from Q1/2021 to Q4/2031 – as historical market data and forecast.
A central unit serves a whole flat or house through ductwork: fresh air is supplied to living rooms and bedrooms, stale air is extracted from kitchen, bathroom and WC, and a heat exchanger passes most of the exhaust heat to the supply air. Units with an exhaust-air heat pump are included; excluded are single-room units, extract-only systems, bathroom fans to DIN 18017-3, non-residential air handling units, and ducts and fittings.
Demand depends heavily on new single-family homes and well-insulated apartment buildings, usually with one unit per flat. In existing stock the ductwork can practically only be fitted during a deep retrofit. The expiry of new-build funding for efficiency houses and the slump in single-family housebuilding shrank the market considerably, and the trough in completions hits it harder than other products. Recovering completions and rising equipment rates in airtight buildings then bring moderate growth; replacement demand only matters after the forecast period.
Which questions about the MVHR market does the dataset answer?
- How far have central unit sales fallen since Q1/2021, and when does recovery begin?
- How much weight does new build carry against deep retrofits?
- How are volumes spread across quarters?
- How does in-house sales planning compare with the forecast?
Who is the dataset for?
Makers of ventilation units, heat exchangers, ducts, filters and valves plan production and sales. Building services engineers, energy consultants and prefab house builders estimate demand, contractors their workload. Investors and analysts assess the reliance on housebuilding.
Data basis and methodology
New build and renovation are shown for residential and non-residential buildings plus the total market; non-residential rows are zero by definition, as residential ventilation concerns dwellings only. Completions, permits and modernisation activity are combined with dwellings per floor area, one unit per dwelling and the equipment rate of new dwellings or the annual retrofit rate in the stock. The model was cross-checked against available market and industry data as well as internal data.
Delivered as CSV and Excel files, each in German and English, with 44 quarterly values. Related datasets: Decentralised ventilation (single-room units), Heat pump air-water (monoblock), Underfloor heating (wet system) and all data on heating, ventilation, air conditioning and energy.
